Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (106-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 28 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 25 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter