Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -18 (113-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 30 | 10-18 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 26 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 19 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sean McDermott | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 36 | 9-20 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 23 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter