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2021-04-07

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - ✓

Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (101-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 9-23 2-6 2-2 9 6 3 1 22 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 10-14 6-6 3-4 5 2 0 0 29 - -
Nerlens Noel * 27 2-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 2 7 - -
Reggie Bullock * 25 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 21 3-8 2-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Rose 26 4-10 1-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 23 2-9 2-7 2-2 8 3 0 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 19 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 1 1 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 10-21 3-9 2-2 10 5 1 0 25 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 12-26 5-13 3-7 10 3 2 1 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 4-11 3-6 6-6 4 9 1 1 17 - -
Romeo Langford * 24 2-5 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Robert Williams III * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 6 - -
Grant Williams 25 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 22 2-5 0-0 3-5 8 0 1 3 7 - -
Payton Pritchard 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter