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2021-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (141-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 37 3-5 1-3 1-2 7 2 2 0 8 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 12-17 2-6 6-8 12 6 0 1 32 - -
Anthony Edwards * 33 11-21 2-5 3-5 5 3 1 0 27 - -
Ricky Rubio * 29 4-11 1-3 8-9 5 7 3 0 17 - -
Jake Layman * 16 4-6 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 9 - -
D'Angelo Russell 23 5-15 2-7 5-5 1 5 0 0 17 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 18 3-5 1-1 1-2 3 2 0 1 8 - -
Naz Reid 15 5-7 1-2 5-6 5 0 0 0 16 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 33 8-16 0-3 2-3 5 4 1 0 18 - -
Justin Holiday * 28 8-13 5-8 0-0 4 3 0 0 21 - -
Goga Bitadze * 25 6-11 2-4 0-0 3 5 1 1 14 - -
Edmond Sumner * 22 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 7 - -
Doug McDermott * 16 5-8 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 35 9-12 1-1 0-0 3 15 2 0 19 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 6-8 4-4 6-6 1 3 0 1 22 - -
JaKarr Sampson 20 6-10 0-1 4-5 5 0 0 1 16 - -
Jeremy Lamb 20 2-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 3 7 - -
Kelan Martin 13 2-3 0-1 1-1 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Oshae Brissett 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter