Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +1 (122-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Axel Toupane | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 14-21 | 5-10 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 26 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 16 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter