Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (101-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 24 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 22 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 40 | 7-21 | 0-6 | 13-15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter