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2021-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% -
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -10 (96-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 36 4-7 0-0 4-8 4 6 3 0 12 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 4-11 0-0 2-3 8 4 2 1 10 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 9-19 1-5 16-20 6 1 0 1 35 - -
Seth Curry * 31 4-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Danny Green * 24 6-7 5-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 17 - -
Shake Milton 19 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Matisse Thybulle 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 - -
Dwight Howard 14 0-1 0-1 4-4 9 0 1 0 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 3-7 1-4 3-4 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Mike Scott 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 36 4-9 1-3 5-7 1 3 1 1 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 7-17 3-10 3-3 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 6-14 2-5 0-0 3 6 0 0 14 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 6-10 3-7 2-2 3 0 0 1 17 - -
Robert Williams III * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 4 - -
Grant Williams 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 15 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 3 6 - -
Romeo Langford 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tremont Waters 1 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter