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2021-04-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (123-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 35 12-18 1-1 9-10 5 2 1 0 34 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 33 4-10 4-8 2-2 2 4 0 0 14 - -
Lonzo Ball * 29 4-15 4-14 0-0 9 11 3 2 12 - -
James Johnson * 25 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 3 8 - -
Steven Adams * 25 2-6 0-0 2-4 8 1 3 0 6 - -
Naji Marshall 28 2-10 0-4 4-6 9 3 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Thomas 25 4-13 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 5-8 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Wes Iwundu 11 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Willy Hernangomez 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 31 10-21 6-7 4-6 1 12 0 0 30 - -
Solomon Hill * 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 9 3 2 0 5 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 29 8-11 5-8 0-0 4 4 0 0 21 - -
Clint Capela * 28 5-7 0-0 2-4 12 1 0 3 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 24 7-11 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Tony Snell 22 0-4 0-1 3-3 4 0 1 1 3 - -
Danilo Gallinari 21 5-11 3-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 2-4 0-0 3-6 3 0 1 2 7 - -
Lou Williams 18 5-10 2-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Brandon Goodwin 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter