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2021-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -16 (97-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 14-29 4-7 0-0 17 5 0 1 32 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 6-18 4-12 3-4 8 6 0 1 19 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 34 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 3 2 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 4-8 1-1 1-1 3 2 4 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young * 27 6-10 0-0 2-4 7 5 1 1 14 - -
Coby White 31 5-9 1-4 2-2 3 6 0 0 13 - -
Lauri Markkanen 21 5-7 3-4 2-2 6 0 1 1 15 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 15 1-4 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 1 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 32 9-18 2-4 0-0 6 5 0 1 20 - -
Justin Holiday * 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Doug McDermott * 23 4-12 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 20 3-5 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 3 10 - -
Edmond Sumner * 18 6-8 0-2 3-5 1 1 2 0 15 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 6 - -
Jeremy Lamb 23 4-12 2-6 5-5 6 1 6 1 15 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 1-4 0-0 2-3 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 6 1 3 4 - -
Kelan Martin 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 12 3-6 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 2 6 - -
Cassius Stanley 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Brian Bowen II 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter