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2021-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.1% 38.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Log Adjusted 82.3% 17.7% -
Points Off/Def 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (130-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 11-20 6-8 8-9 6 6 1 0 36 - -
Chris Paul * 35 6-9 3-5 4-5 5 11 4 0 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 33 10-14 0-0 7-8 11 1 0 2 27 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 7-12 4-6 2-2 1 3 2 1 20 - -
Jae Crowder * 27 3-6 1-3 4-4 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Cameron Johnson 21 4-9 3-7 1-1 4 0 1 0 12 - -
Torrey Craig 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Dario Saric 14 0-6 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 - -
Jevon Carter 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 33 8-21 3-7 4-5 3 0 0 0 23 - -
Avery Bradley * 32 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 6 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 31 7-12 3-5 1-1 7 5 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 29 5-10 1-3 9-10 9 8 0 0 20 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 29 7-8 3-3 4-5 4 1 2 0 21 - -
Sterling Brown 26 6-7 3-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 3-5 1-2 4-4 1 6 0 0 11 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 19 4-7 1-3 4-6 3 3 0 2 13 - -
D.J. Wilson 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter