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2021-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 8-16 2-4 13-15 6 9 2 0 31 - -
Harrison Barnes * 37 9-14 0-3 3-4 12 4 1 0 21 - -
Richaun Holmes * 34 5-10 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 3 11 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 4-9 0-2 1-1 2 7 2 2 9 - -
Buddy Hield * 32 6-17 6-16 0-0 7 3 2 1 18 - -
Delon Wright 19 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Terence Davis 17 1-8 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Maurice Harkless 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside 13 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 7 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 5-15 3-10 6-7 8 5 2 0 19 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 8-18 2-3 5-5 13 5 2 0 23 - -
Ricky Rubio * 26 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 5 1 1 4 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Josh Okogie * 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 25 5-10 1-3 6-8 9 1 1 0 17 - -
D'Angelo Russell 24 7-19 4-7 7-9 5 3 1 1 25 - -
Naz Reid 20 4-8 2-3 0-0 7 0 1 1 10 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 19 4-6 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Jarrett Culver 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jake Layman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter