Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 6-23 | 0-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 0-8 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 21 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 11-26 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter