Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 37 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 30 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 13 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter