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2021-04-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Log Adjusted 69.5% 30.5% -
Points Off/Def 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (115-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 36 8-18 8-15 3-3 4 9 3 0 27 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 4-15 4-12 7-8 4 2 1 1 19 - -
James Johnson * 33 8-16 1-5 1-5 7 3 2 4 18 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 29 4-12 1-2 2-2 7 2 1 1 11 - -
Steven Adams * 22 5-9 0-0 2-6 11 3 2 1 12 - -
Willy Hernangomez 25 7-7 0-0 1-2 12 1 1 0 15 - -
Naji Marshall 23 3-6 1-1 5-7 4 5 0 1 12 - -
Wes Iwundu 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 14 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 1 5 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 33 3-11 1-6 8-13 12 3 1 0 15 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 31 5-15 2-3 0-0 5 5 0 1 12 - -
Sterling Brown * 27 4-8 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 26 7-11 3-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 19 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Kelly Olynyk 33 9-17 5-13 3-3 8 3 0 1 26 - -
Avery Bradley 26 2-9 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 20 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 9 - -
D.J. Augustin 19 4-8 1-3 0-0 6 5 0 0 9 - -
D.J. Wilson 8 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter