Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 37 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 12-23 | 3-12 | 10-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 15 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 13-15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 26 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter