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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -16 (100-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 3-8 1-2 1-2 5 10 1 0 8 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 5-14 4-13 1-1 5 2 2 2 15 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 6-9 2-2 3-4 5 3 0 1 17 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 3-9 1-3 3-4 6 2 2 3 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 8-11 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 0 16 - -
Desmond Bane 23 5-11 3-6 1-1 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 6-10 0-0 3-3 2 2 0 1 15 - -
Xavier Tillman 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 - -
Tyus Jones 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton 15 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 3 0 1 14 - -
John Konchar 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jontay Porter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sean McDermott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Killian Tillie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 26 2-6 0-0 3-6 7 4 1 1 7 - -
Tobias Harris * 26 8-14 0-3 5-6 8 3 0 1 21 - -
Seth Curry * 23 1-6 1-5 0-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Danny Green * 23 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 2 6 - -
Mike Scott * 20 3-10 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Dwight Howard 24 4-6 0-0 1-2 12 3 0 1 9 - -
Shake Milton 16 5-11 0-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 14 2-7 1-3 0-1 2 3 1 0 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Paul Reed 13 5-7 0-1 0-1 6 2 1 1 10 - -
Isaiah Joe 9 1-3 1-3 3-4 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Rayjon Tucker 9 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Mason Jones 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter