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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +30 (116-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 32 8-19 3-9 3-3 7 4 1 1 22 - -
Miles Bridges * 30 3-9 2-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Devonte' Graham * 26 4-8 2-5 1-2 4 6 1 0 11 - -
P.J. Washington * 21 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 21 2-2 0-0 2-6 3 2 0 2 6 - -
Caleb Martin 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 17 2-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Brad Wanamaker 17 3-7 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Cody Zeller 13 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Nick Richards 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Nate Darling 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Grant Riller 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 28 4-8 4-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 12 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 8-15 3-9 3-4 8 4 0 0 22 - -
Kemba Walker * 26 5-12 2-9 0-0 2 6 1 0 12 - -
Robert Williams III * 25 7-9 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 1 16 - -
Jaylen Brown * 25 6-13 5-8 0-0 6 1 0 1 17 - -
Evan Fournier 21 5-9 4-5 3-3 0 6 2 1 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Romeo Langford 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 6 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tremont Waters 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter