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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: LA Clippers +18 (104-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 33 2-10 0-4 2-5 7 1 0 2 6 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 1 3 0 8 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 3-12 0-3 2-2 3 7 1 0 8 - -
Markieff Morris * 28 4-10 0-3 1-1 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Marc Gasol * 17 4-7 3-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 11 - -
Alex Caruso 26 2-6 2-3 2-2 1 2 1 1 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 7-12 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 2 19 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 25 7-14 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 16 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Devontae Cacok 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 33 8-15 2-2 1-1 10 8 2 0 19 - -
Ivica Zubac * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 6 - -
Paul George * 31 6-14 2-4 2-2 7 3 2 0 16 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 9-13 4-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 22 - -
Reggie Jackson * 21 2-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 6 - -
Terance Mann 19 3-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Luke Kennard 18 6-10 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Nicolas Batum 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 5 4 1 1 4 - -
Patrick Patterson 16 2-6 1-4 2-2 0 0 1 1 7 - -
Rajon Rondo 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 - -
Amir Coffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Oturu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter