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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - ✗
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - ✗

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (115-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 38 12-27 0-4 0-0 2 15 2 0 24 - -
Joe Harris * 34 5-11 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Bruce Brown * 30 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 10 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 26 5-10 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 11 - -
Blake Griffin * 22 4-9 1-4 1-1 8 2 0 0 10 - -
Jeff Green 25 7-12 4-6 3-4 1 2 0 0 21 - -
Landry Shamet 21 4-10 3-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Tyler Johnson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Nicolas Claxton 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Chiozza 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Reggie Perry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 8-17 1-5 8-12 3 5 0 0 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 10-17 1-4 1-2 13 2 2 2 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 8-10 2-3 1-1 1 11 2 0 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 4-5 1-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Thaddeus Young * 21 3-8 0-0 6-6 5 5 0 1 12 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 28 2-6 1-3 1-1 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Theis 23 4-6 2-3 0-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Lauri Markkanen 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter