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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% - ✓
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (128-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 14-23 3-5 2-3 7 11 1 1 33 - -
Khris Middleton * 34 4-16 1-5 7-7 3 5 2 0 16 - -
Pat Connaughton * 31 3-8 0-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 9 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 11-13 2-4 2-2 4 0 1 2 26 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 4-9 2-4 2-2 14 7 1 0 12 - -
Bobby Portis 20 8-10 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 18 - -
Jeff Teague 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 - -
Bryn Forbes 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 10-24 2-7 5-5 3 6 1 1 27 - -
Harrison Barnes * 34 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 3 4 0 9 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 5-13 2-5 0-0 6 11 0 0 12 - -
Buddy Hield * 31 7-12 5-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Richaun Holmes * 26 5-7 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 1 12 - -
Terence Davis 23 10-14 7-10 0-0 3 1 0 2 27 - -
Maurice Harkless 21 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Delon Wright 17 3-8 0-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Chimezie Metu 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 8 - -

* = starter