Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (133-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 22 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 33 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 24 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter