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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 44 11-23 4-12 13-14 14 5 1 1 39 37 -
Anthony Edwards * 41 10-23 3-7 4-4 1 1 1 0 27 7 -
Jordan McLaughlin * 41 4-9 1-4 3-4 6 9 3 0 12 21 -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 4-10 2-6 4-4 8 1 1 2 14 16 -
Josh Okogie * 24 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Jake Layman 18 3-5 0-1 0-2 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
Naz Reid 17 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
Jarrett Culver 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jaylen Nowell 4 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 33 5-11 2-5 1-1 1 5 0 0 13 8 -
Ben Simmons * 33 5-9 0-0 4-6 8 6 2 0 14 21 -
Tobias Harris * 32 13-17 2-3 4-4 5 4 1 1 32 26 -
Joel Embiid * 28 6-14 0-4 12-17 8 2 0 3 24 23 -
Danny Green * 27 3-6 3-6 0-0 6 3 0 1 9 13 -
Shake Milton 20 5-12 2-4 2-2 2 3 2 0 14 9 -
Dwight Howard 19 1-1 0-0 5-7 6 0 1 1 7 14 -
Matisse Thybulle 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 3 -
Mike Scott 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 2 -

* = starter