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2021-04-04

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 ✓ (41.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - ✓
Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -44 (81-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 30 9-16 5-9 6-7 8 3 0 0 29 - -
Reggie Bullock * 27 8-12 6-10 0-0 5 1 1 0 22 - -
RJ Barrett * 27 5-7 1-1 3-4 0 4 2 1 14 - -
Elfrid Payton * 24 4-12 1-4 2-4 6 9 2 1 11 - -
Nerlens Noel * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 4 0 - -
Derrick Rose 20 3-6 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson 20 5-5 0-0 1-1 5 1 2 2 11 - -
Immanuel Quickley 17 3-6 1-2 5-5 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Alec Burks 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 - -
Obi Toppin 15 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Frank Ntilikina 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 - -
Theo Pinson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Norvel Pelle 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 - -
Jared Harper 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 32 5-13 2-6 4-5 4 2 0 2 16 - -
Josh Jackson * 23 2-9 0-2 1-2 4 3 2 0 5 - -
Mason Plumlee * 21 3-4 0-0 3-3 10 1 1 2 9 - -
Saddiq Bey * 17 2-9 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Saben Lee * 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Stewart 26 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 24 5-12 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Killian Hayes 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 16 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Frank Jackson 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Wayne Ellington 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 11 2-4 1-2 0-2 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Tyler Cook 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 2 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter