Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.4% | 26.6% | -5.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -22 (87-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 12-24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 6-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 28 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 24 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 37 | 11-24 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans * | 20 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 22 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cassius Winston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter