Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -18 (109-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 18-21 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 47 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 27 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 34 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 10-19 | 5-10 | 7-10 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 31 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 27 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter