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2021-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (33.1 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% -
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% -
Points Off/Def 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +37 (140-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleksej Pokusevski * 32 7-14 4-6 2-4 5 4 1 0 20 - -
Theo Maledon * 31 10-18 5-7 8-10 5 3 1 0 33 - -
Moses Brown * 23 0-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 1 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 23 2-7 0-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Isaiah Roby * 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 24 4-6 0-2 1-1 6 0 0 1 9 - -
Kenrich Williams 22 4-10 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 10 - -
Josh Hall 22 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Ty Jerome 17 2-11 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Justin Jackson 12 5-8 3-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 15 - -
Darius Miller 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 30 11-20 3-5 7-7 2 5 0 0 32 - -
Deandre Ayton * 24 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 1 9 - -
Mikal Bridges * 23 7-10 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 3 17 - -
Jae Crowder * 22 3-5 2-4 3-4 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Chris Paul * 21 8-8 1-1 0-0 5 12 3 0 17 - -
Cameron Payne 26 4-9 1-3 0-0 6 8 1 2 9 - -
Jevon Carter 25 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 4 - -
Torrey Craig 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 3 0 7 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 6-9 3-5 2-2 2 1 1 1 17 - -
Dario Saric 17 4-9 1-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Smith 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 5 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter