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2021-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (120-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 11-25 1-8 7-7 16 2 1 1 30 - -
Jordan McLaughlin * 33 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 1 6 - -
Anthony Edwards * 30 9-14 2-3 2-2 3 6 1 2 22 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 2-12 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 20 2-4 2-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Naz Reid 22 5-7 2-2 6-7 5 1 0 2 18 - -
Jaylen Nowell 20 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Josh Okogie 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 16 1-4 0-3 2-4 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jake Layman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 4 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 3-7 2-4 3-6 3 7 0 0 11 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 5-13 2-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 7-14 1-1 4-4 11 0 0 0 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 21 5-7 5-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Kyle Anderson * 19 2-8 1-3 2-2 8 7 1 1 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 24 4-10 0-2 3-4 4 2 1 1 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 5-10 4-6 0-0 4 3 3 0 14 - -
Xavier Tillman 21 4-7 1-2 3-5 4 0 1 1 12 - -
Tyus Jones 19 4-8 2-3 1-1 3 5 1 0 11 - -
Desmond Bane 18 2-5 1-4 1-1 7 1 1 1 6 - -
John Konchar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jontay Porter 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Sean McDermott 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Killian Tillie 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter