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2021-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -17 (97-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 39 6-23 1-9 2-3 6 3 2 1 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 29 6-15 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 13 - -
Devonte' Graham * 25 3-15 1-8 5-5 3 6 5 0 12 - -
Gordon Hayward * 19 4-8 1-2 4-6 8 6 0 0 13 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Miles Bridges 31 8-12 4-7 3-5 10 1 2 1 23 - -
Brad Wanamaker 29 5-8 0-1 3-3 3 4 2 0 13 - -
Cody Zeller 27 7-7 0-0 3-5 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Cody Martin 19 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Caleb Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 34 5-13 2-6 4-6 4 5 2 0 16 - -
Myles Turner * 31 3-7 0-2 1-2 8 1 1 1 7 - -
Justin Holiday * 29 3-13 2-9 1-1 6 1 2 1 9 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 4 1 0 8 - -
Edmond Sumner * 22 4-8 0-2 2-3 6 3 0 1 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 31 5-8 0-1 2-2 1 7 0 2 12 - -
Doug McDermott 28 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 5-8 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 12 - -
Goga Bitadze 10 4-5 1-2 1-3 7 1 0 0 10 - -
JaKarr Sampson 4 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Cassius Stanley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kelan Martin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter