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2021-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% - ✗
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 ✗ (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -13 (86-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maxi Kleber * 35 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 2 2 0 7 - -
Luka Doncic * 35 11-23 3-8 1-4 8 7 1 0 26 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 6-17 1-7 1-2 8 1 0 1 14 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 32 2-8 2-6 0-0 9 0 0 0 6 - -
Josh Richardson * 27 5-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Jalen Brunson 25 6-9 1-2 2-2 7 5 0 0 15 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 20 5-9 3-6 1-2 3 1 2 0 14 - -
Dwight Powell 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Nicolo Melli 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Trey Burke 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 5-20 1-7 3-3 8 11 1 1 14 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 3-11 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Reggie Bullock * 22 4-10 4-9 1-1 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Nerlens Noel * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Elfrid Payton * 13 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Alec Burks 29 6-11 4-6 4-4 2 1 2 0 20 - -
Taj Gibson 27 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 2 4 - -
Derrick Rose 25 1-10 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 22 2-9 1-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 10 4-5 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 9 - -

* = starter