🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (118-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 32 8-16 1-2 2-7 10 3 2 0 19 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 29 4-11 0-5 4-6 5 8 3 0 12 - -
Sterling Brown * 27 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 22 4-8 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Avery Bradley 27 6-12 2-7 1-2 6 3 0 0 15 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 23 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Kelly Olynyk 21 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 1-8 0-4 6-6 0 1 1 0 8 - -
D.J. Wilson 4 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Ben McLemore 4 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Anthony Lamb 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 9-17 5-11 3-3 9 0 0 1 26 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 4-8 3-6 0-0 6 8 0 0 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 27 9-20 1-2 3-4 11 2 2 0 22 - -
Marcus Smart * 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 10 3 1 6 - -
Robert Williams III * 25 9-9 0-0 2-3 9 8 1 2 20 - -
Evan Fournier 29 8-13 7-11 0-0 2 0 0 0 23 - -
Luke Kornet 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 - -
Grant Williams 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Tacko Fall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 - -

* = starter