🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - ✗
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 ✗ (54.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +53 (130-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Wiseman * 30 4-11 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Jordan Poole * 29 3-15 3-9 1-2 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 5-9 1-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 18 3-11 2-4 1-1 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Nico Mannion 30 3-7 0-3 4-5 0 4 1 1 10 - -
Eric Paschall 22 3-9 1-3 2-2 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Mychal Mulder 18 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Damion Lee 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 14 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Alen Smailagic 10 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Kevon Looney 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 31 14-24 4-9 4-4 7 5 2 0 36 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 8-14 6-9 2-2 5 1 1 2 24 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 8-12 2-4 3-4 3 2 2 1 21 - -
Chris Boucher * 25 2-4 1-2 5-5 6 2 4 2 10 - -
Fred VanVleet * 18 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 1 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 30 7-12 1-4 1-1 5 5 2 0 16 - -
Aron Baynes 24 2-3 0-1 1-2 7 1 1 2 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 20 0-6 0-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 20 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 2 2 0 5 - -
Yuta Watanabe 13 3-6 0-1 0-1 8 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter