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2021-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 38 9-18 3-6 2-2 8 2 0 0 23 15 -
Aaron Gordon * 38 6-13 1-4 1-4 6 6 3 2 14 18 -
Nikola Jokic * 35 6-16 2-3 0-0 7 7 0 1 14 13 -
Will Barton * 34 7-14 3-6 2-3 3 4 1 0 19 13 -
Michael Porter Jr. * 32 7-11 1-2 5-5 4 1 0 2 20 16 -
Facundo Campazzo 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 12 -
PJ Dozier 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 -
Paul Millsap 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 6 -
JaMychal Green 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 10-22 2-4 2-2 12 4 2 1 24 21 -
Paul George * 31 5-15 2-7 5-6 8 5 0 0 17 15 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 2-9 2-6 2-2 4 0 1 0 8 4 -
Ivica Zubac * 28 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 8 10 -
Reggie Jackson * 26 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 5 -
Nicolas Batum 29 2-7 2-4 0-0 5 3 3 0 6 10 -
Terance Mann 26 8-10 1-1 1-2 6 2 0 0 18 16 -
Luke Kennard 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Patrick Patterson 13 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Amir Coffey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Oturu 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter