Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (129-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 45 | 12-17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 44 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 43 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 11-23 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 22 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 46 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 44 | 10-20 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 43 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 31 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 31 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter