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2021-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - ✓
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 34 5-13 2-8 4-5 10 2 0 0 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 8-18 2-4 6-6 10 3 2 1 24 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 7-11 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 16 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 3-11 1-4 2-2 3 7 2 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young * 28 7-14 0-0 5-6 10 4 1 0 19 - -
Denzel Valentine 29 8-18 3-9 0-0 6 4 0 0 19 - -
Daniel Theis 19 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 2 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 17-24 2-5 9-10 4 4 1 1 45 - -
Chris Paul * 32 7-13 0-0 5-7 3 14 0 0 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 10 - -
Mikal Bridges * 28 3-8 0-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder * 27 3-4 3-4 1-3 3 1 1 4 10 - -
Dario Saric 20 6-9 3-5 1-1 5 2 1 0 16 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Cameron Payne 15 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Jevon Carter 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter