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2021-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -15 (97-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 8-18 1-3 0-0 6 8 1 0 17 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 8-13 1-1 8-10 10 4 0 3 25 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 11-16 3-5 3-4 8 6 4 1 28 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 4 4 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 4-8 3-6 2-2 5 2 3 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Bryn Forbes 20 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 9 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 12 3-6 1-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 8 - -
Mamadi Diakite 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Nwora 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Axel Toupane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-17 1-9 1-1 7 3 1 0 16 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 6-18 3-8 2-2 3 8 1 1 17 - -
Markieff Morris * 28 5-8 3-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 0-4 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Andre Drummond * 14 2-6 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Alex Caruso 28 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 1 6 - -
Montrezl Harrell 25 6-11 0-1 7-7 5 1 1 0 19 - -
Wesley Matthews 25 3-7 3-7 0-0 4 1 3 0 9 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Marc Gasol 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 - -
Devontae Cacok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kostas Antetokounmpo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter