Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (120-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 31 | 5-18 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 29 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 20 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robert Woodard II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 30 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cameron Reynolds | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter