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2021-04-01

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - ✓
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 ✓ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 68.5% 31.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 59.0% 41.0% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +1 (102-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 8-17 3-4 4-6 3 2 1 1 23 - -
Julius Randle * 39 11-20 2-5 2-2 12 6 0 0 26 - -
Reggie Bullock * 38 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 10 - -
Elfrid Payton * 27 6-13 1-1 4-5 5 3 2 0 17 - -
Nerlens Noel * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 - -
Alec Burks 24 5-12 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Taj Gibson 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 3 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 39 7-18 2-7 2-2 17 6 0 2 18 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 36 7-13 4-9 0-0 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Anthony Edwards * 35 9-16 2-7 4-5 2 3 3 3 24 - -
Malik Beasley * 32 5-9 5-8 5-6 1 0 1 1 20 - -
Ricky Rubio * 27 3-9 1-5 2-2 4 7 2 0 9 - -
Jaylen Nowell 21 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 - -
Naz Reid 15 2-7 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Jake Layman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter