Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 39 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 11-15 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 10-24 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 9-17 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter