Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 23 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 19 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey | 15 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayjon Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 12-24 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 11-16 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter