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2021-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 ✓ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - ✓
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (116-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Williams * 32 7-13 0-1 0-0 6 4 1 1 14 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 4-16 1-7 3-4 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 6-11 1-3 1-1 2 8 1 0 14 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 9-13 0-4 3-3 9 6 0 1 21 - -
Thaddeus Young * 23 5-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 10 - -
Lauri Markkanen 22 5-9 3-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Theis 22 3-5 0-1 0-1 2 3 1 2 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 3 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Javonte Green 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Devon Dotson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 8-19 0-3 2-2 11 0 1 0 18 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 8-15 3-5 2-2 3 5 2 1 21 - -
Draymond Green * 33 4-7 3-5 0-0 5 9 1 1 11 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 11-24 6-14 4-5 5 6 1 0 32 - -
James Wiseman * 27 6-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 12 - -
Kevon Looney 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 17 4-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 1 9 - -
Jordan Poole 17 3-8 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Damion Lee 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Nico Mannion 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter