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2021-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (110-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 34 5-15 2-8 5-6 4 4 1 0 17 - -
Ja Morant * 33 5-11 1-4 1-3 5 8 0 0 12 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 13-18 0-0 4-6 15 1 0 0 30 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 3-7 0-4 1-2 2 2 1 1 7 - -
Grayson Allen * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 28 7-12 4-7 5-6 4 2 2 0 23 - -
Desmond Bane 27 7-10 3-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 17 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 3 2 1 7 - -
Tyus Jones 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 6 1 1 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 5-17 0-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 10 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 33 9-18 3-9 3-3 7 1 0 0 24 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 33 10-17 0-5 5-5 9 2 1 2 25 - -
John Wall * 33 2-12 1-5 4-5 3 8 3 2 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 24 0-3 0-1 2-4 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Sterling Brown 21 3-7 2-4 2-2 7 0 1 0 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 20 4-7 2-4 3-3 2 5 1 0 13 - -
Avery Bradley 14 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 - -
D.J. Wilson 12 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter