🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 ✗ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - ✗

Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 37 6-15 3-7 0-0 4 5 2 0 15 - -
Fred VanVleet * 32 7-20 4-10 4-7 5 1 0 0 22 - -
OG Anunoby * 31 6-12 3-8 4-4 5 3 0 3 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 28 5-14 0-3 4-4 6 5 0 0 14 - -
Kyle Lowry * 23 3-8 0-3 4-5 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Rodney Hood 20 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 15 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 3 4 - -
Stanley Johnson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Aron Baynes 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 33 6-10 5-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Jerami Grant * 29 3-12 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Saben Lee * 26 7-12 2-2 3-5 3 5 1 1 19 - -
Wayne Ellington * 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Mason Plumlee * 18 0-1 0-0 5-6 8 2 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart 29 5-7 1-2 3-4 2 3 0 1 14 - -
Hamidou Diallo 27 6-10 1-2 6-7 10 3 1 2 19 - -
Cory Joseph 24 5-8 2-4 5-5 4 5 2 1 17 - -
Frank Jackson 17 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Tyler Cook 13 1-2 0-0 1-3 6 2 1 0 3 - -

* = starter