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2021-03-29

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 7-17 3-5 8-11 1 9 1 0 25 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 35 4-9 4-8 1-2 3 5 0 0 13 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 33 7-15 3-9 0-2 7 3 0 0 17 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 11-22 0-0 6-9 8 3 4 0 28 - -
Steven Adams * 29 2-2 0-0 0-4 5 1 2 1 4 - -
Josh Hart 31 5-8 3-5 2-2 15 3 0 1 15 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 18 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Wes Iwundu 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 12-25 5-9 5-6 9 5 2 0 34 - -
Marcus Smart * 38 6-15 0-6 3-3 3 3 0 2 15 - -
Kemba Walker * 33 8-18 2-9 5-5 4 4 0 0 23 - -
Robert Williams III * 32 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 5 0 3 7 - -
Grant Williams * 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Evan Fournier 32 0-10 0-5 0-0 2 0 2 2 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 4-6 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 11 - -
Luke Kornet 13 4-6 2-4 0-1 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter