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2021-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwayne Bacon * 33 9-19 2-6 6-6 8 1 0 0 26 - -
Chuma Okeke * 29 5-11 3-6 1-1 6 3 0 1 14 - -
James Ennis III * 26 4-12 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Khem Birch * 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 13 0-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Chasson Randle 25 3-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 20 2-3 0-1 4-7 8 0 1 0 8 - -
R.J. Hampton 17 4-8 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Mo Bamba 16 4-9 1-3 2-2 7 3 0 3 11 - -
Karim Mane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 38 8-20 5-15 0-0 11 4 0 0 21 - -
Dennis Schroder * 36 7-14 1-3 9-10 5 6 2 0 24 - -
Markieff Morris * 32 5-11 2-6 0-0 11 0 1 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 1-4 0-3 2-3 3 3 1 1 4 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Montrezl Harrell 27 8-13 0-0 2-4 11 0 2 2 18 - -
Alex Caruso 21 1-5 1-3 0-2 4 5 2 1 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Wesley Matthews 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -

* = starter