Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +24 (126-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 27 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter