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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 9-18 1-7 4-4 7 5 2 3 23 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 7-21 2-7 6-6 3 11 0 0 22 - -
Robert Covington * 36 4-11 3-8 2-2 12 2 3 4 13 - -
Norman Powell * 27 3-6 1-2 6-9 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 19 4-7 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Carmelo Anthony 28 4-12 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 7-9 1-3 1-1 3 0 1 2 16 - -
Enes Kanter 17 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 13 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 39 8-16 2-3 8-10 8 2 0 0 26 - -
OG Anunoby * 38 7-15 3-7 2-4 10 3 1 0 19 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 7-19 2-10 4-5 5 8 1 0 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 2-10 1-5 1-2 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Aron Baynes * 14 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 2 4 - -
Rodney Hood 27 4-8 2-5 3-3 2 0 1 1 13 - -
Chris Boucher 23 6-8 2-4 4-5 11 0 0 1 18 - -
Stanley Johnson 20 3-4 2-3 3-4 1 2 0 2 11 - -
Malachi Flynn 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter