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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 42 6-11 1-3 0-0 8 4 6 1 13 - -
Devin Booker * 41 10-26 4-11 11-12 6 3 2 0 35 - -
Chris Paul * 38 5-16 1-5 5-6 2 1 2 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 33 6-11 0-0 2-2 14 0 0 0 14 - -
Jae Crowder * 32 0-9 0-9 2-2 8 4 1 0 2 - -
Torrey Craig 21 4-6 1-2 0-2 4 1 2 1 9 - -
Cameron Johnson 18 0-6 0-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 17 1-5 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Cameron Payne 14 2-6 1-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Langston Galloway 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 44 0-7 0-4 0-2 12 2 2 2 0 - -
Terry Rozier * 44 8-19 4-12 2-3 10 1 1 0 22 - -
Gordon Hayward * 41 4-15 1-6 6-8 6 3 1 0 15 - -
Devonte' Graham * 39 9-21 7-16 5-5 1 3 0 0 30 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Miles Bridges 36 8-13 1-5 1-1 12 1 0 0 18 - -
Cody Martin 26 3-6 0-0 2-4 6 4 2 1 8 - -
Cody Zeller 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Caleb Martin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter