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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 61.6% 38.4% -2.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 40 11-24 1-5 3-5 6 4 2 0 26 - -
Darius Garland * 33 7-18 1-3 3-4 3 2 2 0 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 33 6-12 2-4 3-6 9 5 2 0 17 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Brodric Thomas * 31 2-8 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 2 7 - -
Dean Wade 31 4-8 2-5 3-3 6 2 2 0 13 - -
Damyean Dotson 22 4-5 1-2 0-1 5 4 0 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 14 2-2 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 38 15-24 2-8 4-4 4 6 1 2 36 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 6-10 1-3 3-4 11 0 0 0 16 - -
Richaun Holmes * 33 5-11 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 5 10 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 6-11 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 31 4-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Delon Wright 22 1-4 0-1 2-3 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Terence Davis 17 2-6 1-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Chimezie Metu 14 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 2 5 - -
Maurice Harkless 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter