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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.1% 22.9% -
Points Off/Def 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -17 (94-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-27 4-12 1-1 5 3 1 0 27 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 3-7 1-4 1-3 2 8 2 0 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 9-23 3-10 4-4 3 0 0 0 25 - -
Grant Williams * 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 7 2 2 1 2 - -
Robert Williams III * 25 2-5 0-0 5-6 14 2 2 2 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 6-10 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 12 - -
Carsen Edwards 16 5-8 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Aaron Nesmith 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 - -
Luke Kornet 13 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Tacko Fall 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Tremont Waters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Theo Maledon * 37 7-16 4-10 4-4 8 4 2 0 22 - -
Moses Brown * 32 8-10 0-0 5-8 23 0 0 0 21 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski * 31 3-10 0-4 2-2 2 5 1 1 8 - -
Isaiah Roby * 27 1-5 0-2 2-4 7 1 0 1 4 - -
Luguentz Dort * 16 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Kenrich Williams 29 5-9 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 1 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 2-11 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Ty Jerome 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Josh Hall 20 1-5 0-3 2-6 5 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter