Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 39 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 34 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 34 | 11-19 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 34 | 13-20 | 0-2 | 12-18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 29 | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 31 | 7-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 27 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 24 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter